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All eyes will once again be on Beyonce as she looks to extend her record-setting run of Grammy success on “Music’s Biggest Night.”
Queen Bey — who with 28 victories to her credit already ranks as the most highly awarded performing artist in Grammy history — leads all comers at the 2023 award show with nine nominations.
That ratchets up her lifetime total to a staggering 88 nominations, which ties her with — believe it or not — husband Jay-Z for the most of all time. (Yeah, the trophy cabinet in the Bey and Jay household must truly be something to behold.)
Yet, Queen Bey, despite all her amazing success at the awards show over the decades, will be looking to add to her collection in brand new ways when the Grammys are handed out on Feb. 5 at Crypto.com Arena in Los Angeles.
Standing in the way of Beyonce’s quest for wins No. 29-37 is a mighty impressive group of talent, including hip-hop star Kendrick Lamar with eight nominations.
On their heels are Adele and Brandi Carlile, each with seven nods. And there are a half-dozen artists — including Mary J. Blige and Harry Styles — who have scored six nominations.
How will it all play out? Well, that’s what we’re hoping to figure out as we peer into our crystal ball and handicap the races for the top awards.
Here’s who we see emerging victorious in the “Big Four” general field categories — best album, best record, best song and best new artist — at the 65th annual Grammy Awards. Follow all the action beginning at 5 p.m. on CBS and Paramount +.
Record of the Year
The nominees: “Don’t Shut Me Down,” ABBA; “Easy on Me,” Adele; “Break My Soul,” Beyonce; “Good Morning Gorgeous,” Mary J. Blige; “You and Me on the Rock,” Brandi Carlile featuring Lucius; “Woman,” Doja Cat; “Bad Habit,” Steve Lacy; “The Heart Part 5,” Kendrick Lamar; “About Damn Time,” Lizzo; “As It Was,” Harry Styles
The skinny: Beyonce is nominated in all three of the Big Four categories that she’s eligible to compete in and seems well poised for a sweep.
She’d certainly love to win record of the year, which, amazingly, she’s somehow failed to do despite being nominated more times than any other artist.
“Break My Soul” — an uplifting dance-pop number boosting impeccable production and vocal work — could be the one to do the trick. Yet, it faces stiff competition from at least four other nominees.
First up, there’s Lizzo, who delivered one of 2022’s most memorable dance-floor bangers with “About Damn Time.” And everybody loves Harry, right? So, expect substantial support for “As It Was.”
One can also certainly make a convincing case for Steve Lacy’s omnipresent “Bad Habit,” which became the first song in history to simultaneously hold the No. 1 spot on the Hot R&B/Hip-Hop Songs, Hot R&B Songs and Hot Rock & Alternative Songs charts. And Adele is always a threat to win in any Grammy category.
Yet, voters had to be asking themselves one question as they cast their ballots — “Are we really going to pass up Beyonce once again?”
The winner: “Break My Soul”
Song of the Year
Note: The award is for songwriters, the song’s performer appears in parentheses.
Nominees: “abcdefu,” Sara Davis, GAYLE and Dave Pittenger (Gayle); “About Damn Time,” Melissa “Lizzo” Jefferson, Eric Frederic, Blake Slatkin and Theron Makiel Thomas (Lizzo); “All Too Well (10 Minute Version) (The Short Film), Liz Rose and Taylor Swift, (Taylor Swift); “As It Was,” Tyler Johnson, Kid Harpoon and Harry Styles (Harry Styles); “Bad Habit,” Matthew Castellanos, Brittany Fousheé, Diana Gordon, John Carroll Kirby and Steve Lacy (Steve Lacy); “Break My Soul,” Beyonce, S. Carter, Terius “The-Dream” Gesteelde-Diamant and Christopher A. Stewart (Beyonce); “Easy On Me,” Adele Adkins and Greg Kurstin (Adele); “God Did,” Tarik Azzouz, E. Blackmon, Khaled Khaled, F. LeBlanc, Shawn Carter, John Stephens, Dwayne Carter, William Roberts and Nicholas Warwar (DJ Khaled Featuring Rick Ross, Lil Wayne, Jay-Z, John Legend and Fridayy); “The Heart Part 5,” Jake Kosich, Johnny Kosich, Kendrick Lamar and Matt Schaeffer (Kendrick Lamar); “Just Like That,” Bonnie Raitt (Bonnie Raitt)
The skinny: For proof that the songwriting process differs from song to song, consider that the nominees in this category range from a song with just one writer (“Just Like That”) to a number with nine authors (“God Did”) — with the other contenders landing somewhere in between.
“Break My Soul” is a definite favorite in this category once again. Yet, Beyonce has already won this field once before with “Single Ladies (Put a Ring on It)” in 2010, which means that voters might be a little less inclined to give it to her again — especially if they plan to honor her in one (or more) of the other Big Four categories.
Swift has earned the right to be considered a frontrunner in any category she’s in — especially when it has to do with songwriting. Yet, this offering is a refashioned version of a decade-old song — an amazingly refashioned version, yes, but still a refashioned version. Plus, voters might decide to wait and honor Swift in 2024 for the material from “Midnights,” which was released too late for consideration for this year’s show.
Adele has won this category twice before, with “Rolling in the Deep” in 2012 and “Hello” in 2017,” and could definitely go for the hat trick with the lovely piano ballad “Easy on Me.”
Lamar’s “The Heart Part 5” is one of the best songs in the running, but it’s doubtful that it stands much of a chance against such pop culture juggernauts as Styles’ “As It Was,” Lacy’s “Bad Habit” and, especially, Lizzo’s “About Damn Time.”
It’s a close call, so let’s go with the one we’d most want to turn up in our car.
The winner: “About Damn Time”
Best New Artist
The nominees: Anitta, Omar Apollo, DOMi & JD Beck, Muni Long, Samara Joy, Latto, Måneskin, Tobe Nwigwe, Molly Tuttle, Wet Leg
The skinny: Here’s one category that Beyonce definitely won’t win, given that she hasn’t been eligible since the ‘90s.
And that’s pretty much the only thing that we can tell you for certain about this category, which appears to be as wide open a best new artist race as any we’ve seen in years.
There’s no certainly no 2023 equivalent to Billie Eilish, Megan Thee Stallion and Olivia Rodrigo — the clear frontrunners and eventual champs in 2020, 2021 and 2022, respectively.
Instead, one can make a (somewhat) convincing case for a number of these nominees.
For instance, it certainly wouldn’t be a surprise to see the award go to Latto, whose “Big Energy” was one of the defining songs of 2022.
A victory for Anitta — the Brazilian superstar behind the worldwide smash “Envolver” — would make her the first non-English act to take home this award. It would also serve as a statement that Grammy voters recognize that Latin music has never been more popular.
And there’s no artist on this list we like better than Samara Joy, an amazing vocalist who’s also up for best jazz vocal album with “Linger Awhile.”
Likewise, we’d definitely be happy to see Northern California’s own Molly Tuttle — who was born in Santa Clara and raised in Palo Alto — take home the trophy. Even if doesn’t happen, Tuttle and her band Golden Highway seem to be the favorite to win the Grammy for best bluegrass album for “Crooked Tree.”
Then there’s the Wet Leg, the much-buzzed-about indie-rock act from the U.K. that received equal amounts of critical and commercial success with its self-titled debut.
The winner: (flips coin multiple times) Wet Leg
Album of the Year
The nominees: “Voyage,” ABBA; “30,” Adele; “Un Verano Sin Ti,” Bad Bunny; “Renaissance,” Beyoncé; “Good Morning Gorgeous (Deluxe),” Mary J. Blige; “In These Silent Days,” Brandi Carlile; “Music of the Spheres,” Coldplay; “Mr. Morale & the Big Steppers,” Kendrick Lamar; “Special,” Lizzo; “Harry’s House,” Harry Styles
The skinny: This category is absolutely loaded with strong contenders. So, let’s start off by eliminating the ones that seemingly don’t stand much of a chance in this packed field. In other words, goodbye Coldplay, ABBA, Carlile and even the great Mary J. Blige. Thanks for playing, but we just don’t see any of you toppling the giants in the race.
Meanwhile, one could make a strong case for each of the offerings from Styles, Lamar, Bad Bunny, Lizzo and Beyonce — five of the world’s most popular acts, none of whom have previously won this award.
Yes, this is yet another Big Four category that Beyonce has somehow never won, despite this being her fourth album of the year nomination. She lost to Taylor Swift in 2010, Beck in 2015 and, most famously, Adele in 2017.
Oh, and did we mention that the latter is up for this trophy as well in 2023?
And many consider Adele to be the frontrunner, given her previous track record in this category — having won both times she was nominated — as well as the commercial success of “30.”
The last time Adele battled Beyonce in this category — back when “25” toppled “Lemonade” in 2017 – she seemed absolutely mortified during her acceptance speech, giving the impression that she thought Queen Bey should’ve won.
Honestly, Adele might be having nightmares that history could repeat itself in 2023 and probably is rooting as strongly for “Renaissance” as any member of Beyonce’s loyal “Beyhive” fan base.
We believe Adele shouldn’t be all that worried and that voters will actually decide to honor the best album of 2022.
The winner: “Renaissance”
THE 65th ANNUAL GRAMMY AWARDS
When: 5 p.m. PST
Where: Crypto.com Arena, Los Angeles
TV/Streaming: CBS, Peacock
Host: Trevor Noah
Performers: Bad Bunny, Brandi Carlile, Kim Petras, Lizzo, Luke Combs, Mary J. Blige, Sam Smith, Steve Lacy, more TBA
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